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The job paradigm shift What is technology doing to the job market?

#1 User is offline   Alan Thomas 

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 10:08 AM

We are all familiar with the situation whereby ACC attempt to rehabilitate and airline pilots into being a car parking attendant and that even car parking attendants as a job no longer exists.The same situation existed with claim is being rehabilitated into telephone operators despite the bank that telephone operator jobs no longer exist.

The job market is about to undergo very significant changes over the next five years or more with the changes in the economic paradigm as result of the cost of technology continually spiralling downward while expectations of wages continue to go up. Human beings are in the process of price themselves off the market. We see for example vast number of factories that have either shifted to places like China or India and if they haven't the jobs have gone anyway as other people have suddenly taken over that type of business because the owners of those businesses fail to recognise the need to shift their factories to countries where labour is cheaper.

We are now entering into a new paradigm shift whereby the lower end robot working on a production line type environment is now cheaper than a production line worker in China as the cheaper end of the average factory robot only costs about one year's salary of the average Chinese worker. What does this mean? In many cases that will mean that the owners of the companies that transferred the workload to places like China are now bringing their companies back to the originating country so that it can be business as usual except for the fact that instead of the original staff or similar being employed in that country it will be robots doing the work. When we take into account the expectation of wages in places like New Zealand, Australia America and suchlike these companies will be in a position to employ even more sophisticated robots. Take for example the Tesla car company whereby there is hardly a car assembly worker in site in as much as practically all of the work is done by robots. If you go to China we see more and more robots taking over the jobs of the local Chinese. So the paradigm shift that we are seeing is that people are being replaced by machines.

Other production line type work includes the work of clerical people such as case managers in the ACC who will be very shortly facing the reality that their jobs are going to be disappearing with the replacement of artificial intelligence. Even call Centres are currently being replaced by artificial intelligence. When we look at the average call centre we see that the person answering the phone is simply responding to the information that has been provided to them in the form of a cheat sheet which has much the same type of information of find on the average pamphlet with the result being that there is an extreme level of frustration which tends to raise the level of perceived need of security. The state of security of course will be alleviated by the introduction of artificial intelligence that will reason the problem through with the caller and solve the problems at a very high level which cannot be achieved with a lowly paid call centre operator.

Just like has happened over the last hundred years where 50% of the population was farming has now been reduced to about 2% in today's world with the introduction of technology. At each of these changes people have worried about a lack of jobs for the greater population with the reality being that new and previously unheard of jobs have been introduced. This is helped largely by the ever decreasing cost of production which enables the average person to have far more possessions than I ever had before which has the effect of there being not just an increase in demand but an increase in production capacity of which humans play a valuable part in so all in all the worldwide population has enjoyed a spiralling upwards of prosperity.
So the pattern is just as mechanical devices took over the jobs of more than 50% of the farming population over the last hundred years and those involved with mechanical devices in factories have had their jobs taken away by increased levels of automation so to as those involved with the information age going to lose their jobs to artificial intelligence in conjunction with ever more sophisticated automation in the form of general robotics which will not beat the simple dumb robots making cars as we see today but devices that are far more sophisticated such as those that already exist that can carry out most of a soldier for example totally autonomous without being under any form of direct moment by moment control. For example a drone can travel halfway around the world, carry out its mission and back without a single input of a human being during the entire mission. In the same way we now have drones that can carry human beings without a single input of a human being at any point during the journey, as is the case with cars which of course is going to strip the vast majority of professional drivers, including truck drivers, from the professional driver market.

With regards to the purpose and nature of this site and this thread we need to be asking ourselves the question as to how claimants are rehabilitated back to a capacity to earn if their jobs have gone and they find themselves no longer possessing relevant skill or experience to be an earner. Historically we have noticed that the ACC have been oblivious to these changes when declaring people fit and able to return to the preinjury occupation or indeed a new occupation which no longer exists. This is particularly important to the average long-term injured claimant hoping to be back into the workforce is in the next five years a huge proportion of the workforce will be out of work looking to re-educate and reskill themselves into new types of jobs in direct competition with injured claimant's seeking to enter the workforce is injured people attempting to utilise their residual capacity.
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#2 User is offline   doppelganger 

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 08:45 PM

Its no different from when the steam age developed.
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